Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.185476 0.206831 0.228944 0.253498 0.279944 0.307517 0.338386
2025-01-05 0.156362 0.185442 0.216875 0.253195 0.293823 0.337689 0.388448
2025-01-12 0.134898 0.168949 0.207158 0.252828 0.305536 0.364076 0.433612
2025-01-19 0.117231 0.154477 0.197735 0.251033 0.314259 0.386209 0.473587
2025-01-26 0.104904 0.144809 0.192618 0.253122 0.326630 0.412030 0.517688
2025-02-02 0.097156 0.139805 0.192322 0.260350 0.344694 0.444406 0.569689
2025-02-09 0.087817 0.131806 0.187487 0.261286 0.354607 0.466788 0.609813
2025-02-16 0.081211 0.126705 0.185748 0.265624 0.368401 0.493756 0.655603
2025-02-23 0.076943 0.124306 0.187162 0.273741 0.386834 0.526503 0.708774
2025-03-02 0.069396 0.116687 0.181057 0.271523 0.391679 0.542107 0.740713
2025-03-09 0.063556 0.110987 0.177096 0.271748 0.399383 0.561150 0.776959
2025-03-16 0.057713 0.104778 0.171978 0.269998 0.404175 0.576297 0.808253
2025-03-23 0.054226 0.102017 0.171761 0.275198 0.418685 0.604703 0.857602
2025-03-30 0.049788 0.097400 0.168553 0.275977 0.427106 0.625220 0.897047
2025-04-06 0.045626 0.092857 0.165138 0.276201 0.434608 0.644506 0.935053
2025-04-13 0.041415 0.087851 0.160686 0.274627 0.439410 0.660117 0.968319
2025-04-20 0.038540 0.084845 0.159080 0.277052 0.449728 0.683154 1.011567
2025-04-27 0.037106 0.084227 0.161125 0.284887 0.467785 0.716849 1.069345
2025-05-04 0.034347 0.080986 0.158787 0.285948 0.476062 0.737240 1.109498
2025-05-11 0.032535 0.079319 0.158867 0.290620 0.489555 0.764894 1.159679
2025-05-18 0.031616 0.079253 0.161538 0.299311 0.509011 0.801001 1.221666
2025-05-25 0.028754 0.075175 0.157272 0.296954 0.512075 0.814252 1.252627
2025-06-01 0.026577 0.072238 0.154755 0.297199 0.518898 0.832754 1.290874